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Marine Corps Marathon Weather History

10 years of race-day weather data for Marine Corps Marathon in Arlington, US. See how conditions have changed year over year and what to expect on race day.

Median Temp

14°C

57°F

Temp Range

8–20°C

10th\u201390th percentile

Avg Wind

9 km/h

2.4 m/s

Rain Chance

20%

10-year avg

Pace Impact

+3.0%

vs. ideal conditions (10\u201315\u00b0C, calm winds)

Overall Verdict

neutral

Based on 10 years of race-day data

Avg Humidity

65%

Race-hour average

Year-by-Year Breakdown

YearTemperatureWindRainConditions
202511.4\u00b0C(53\u00b0F)5 km/h0.0 mm☀️clear
202413.5\u00b0C(56\u00b0F)6 km/h0.0 mm☀️clear
202317.1\u00b0C(63\u00b0F)6 km/h0.0 mm☀️clear
202216.7\u00b0C(62\u00b0F)5 km/h0.2 mm☀️clear
202121.4\u00b0C(71\u00b0F)16 km/h3.1 mmlight rain
20208.5\u00b0C(47\u00b0F)12 km/h11.6 mm🌧️rainy
201915.5\u00b0C(60\u00b0F)5 km/h0.0 mm☀️clear
20188.2\u00b0C(47\u00b0F)9 km/h0.0 mm☀️clear
201714.8\u00b0C(59\u00b0F)7 km/h0.0 mm☀️clear
201612.1\u00b0C(54\u00b0F)15 km/h0.0 mm☀️clear

Notable Years

What to Expect on Race Day

Over the past 10 years, Marine Corps Marathon runners have faced temperatures ranging from 8\u00b0C (46\u00b0F) on cooler years to 20\u00b0C (69\u00b0F) in warmer editions. The median temperature of 14\u00b0C (57\u00b0F) puts this race in the neutral category for running conditions.

Wind speeds average 9 km/h during race hours, with peak gusts reaching 16 km/h in challenging years. Humidity sits around 65%, and there is a 20% chance of rain on race day.

These conditions translate to an estimated pace impact of +3.0% compared to ideal running conditions. For a 4-hour marathoner, that means roughly 7 minutes slower than a perfect-weather day.

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